When Wisconsin running back Montee Ball decided not to enter the 2012 NFL Draft in order to remain with the Badgers for one more season, there was not a single NFL analyst that agreed the move would be a good thing for his career at the professional level. Not only would it be nearly impossible for him to match his numbers from the previous season, but there is a prime put on the age of running backs when they reach the NFL picks level, and on the wear and tear that they have been through by the time that they get there. At the running back position more than any other in the NFL, players are cycled through and then let go when they reach their 30’s, in favor of younger and fresher legs coming up. That is why age is such an important factor at the running back position, with so many sports betting teams afraid to commit to veteran players.
A situation like that may be unfolding with the Chicago Bears right now, where running back Matt Forte is upset that he didn’t get a contract extension from a team that he has helped carry on offense, even though the team went out and signed free agent running back Michael Bush in the offseason. Teams are also shying away from using high picks on running backs as well, using those picks instead on talents from other positions that can contribute longer at a high level. Veteran running backs are becoming an extinct breed at the NFL level, so pay attention to age and how a franchise treats its top runners with the season approaching.
When the New York Giants finished the regular season with the 27th-ranked defense overall, there were significant question marks about whether or not it would be able to hold up in the playoffs against some of the top offenses in the NFL. While it was true that the Giants suffered a ton of injuries during the regular season and were getting as healthy as they would be all year just in time for the postseason, the fact of the matter was that although they gave up a ton of yards, they were also one of the league’s best as far as generating turnovers was concerned. New York’s defense finished the regular season ranked fifth in interceptions with 20, and fourth in forced fumbles with 11 for a total of 31 turnovers. The ability to pressure opposing offense’s and generate turnovers turned out to be clutch throughout the postseason, as the Giants made up for the yards they allowed by forcing turnovers at crucial points in those games, making an even stronger case for interceptions and fumbles to factor in to the Super bowl betting odds.
While a strong secondary capable of making plays is always crucial to creating turnovers, so is having a strong defensive line that can provide pressure up front and force the opponent to make tough per head decisions. While the Giants weren’t known for having a particularly elite secondary, they did have one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, and that helped them make plays up front and force mistakes. New York went on to win the Super Bowl, its second championship in five seasons, and there is no denying that the ability to force turnovers was among the biggest keys to the team’s sportsbook success.
Even an amateur online sports betting sites’ player understands the importance of the quarterback in an NFL betting system, as well as the offensive pieces around him, the defense, the coaching, and of course the home field. However, too often overlooked in the football betting systems are the special teams players, from the kickers, to the return men, the coverage units, and of course the punters. Special teams plays an important role in every NFL game, but unfortunately since they are only noticed when they don’t do their job it is far too easy to overlook how significant of an impact they can have. While they may not have the same impact as a quarterback or front-seven, special teams should always be taken in to consideration and factored in to pay head betting systems.
To begin with, any solid kickoff return or punt return gives the offense prime field advantage to start a drive or, on occasion, gets the points on the board themselves with a punt or kickoff return for a touchdown. On the other side of the coin, the coverage units have to make sure they are not scored on, and limit the field position of the opposition team. The impact of field position in any game is incredible, and the ability for special teams to score points can be a decisive factor in a close game. Punters have a similar role in ensuring opponent field position is limited, while kickers have to make sure they get as many points on the board as they are given the chance to. Kicking can come at a crucial point in any game, and whether or not that kicker is good enough to hit a field goal at a crucial point in a game could be the difference between winning or losing a wager with the best online sportsbook.
When it comes to breaking down the most important sports betting factors necessary for an NFL teams to build a Super Bowl contender, there is never a shortage of variables that the expert fans will point to. From the dominant defensive team capable of shutting down opposing offenses and putting up points on their own, to the elite NFL quarterback that has the ability to dissect those same defenses with surgical precision, to the genius head coach that came up with the perfect strategy to maximize the talent at his disposal and baffle his counterpart, there are so many variables that go in to a Super Bowl champion that sometimes they become hard to recognize. One betting aspect that is often overlooked is the kicker, one of the most underappreciated and overlooked members of any Super Bowl team.
While the quarterback is expected to miss on at least a few passes, and the wide receiver may drop at least a couple of balls, it is expected that the kicker never misses when given the opportunity to put points on the board for his team. That is why despite some incredible numbers over the years, the best kickers in the game are never recognized by the NFL Hall of Fame. The likelihood of the New England Patriots winning three of four Super Bowls with Adam Vinatieri kicking two game-winners is debatable, but certainly if you bring him up to Buffalo Bills’ fans that watched Scott Norwood’s missed field goal in Super Bowl XXV, they will be able to appreciate how important kickers are. Despite never getting the credit they deserve, kickers have always played a key role on Super Bowl teams, and that is unlikely to change anytime soon, even if they don’t get any recognition for it.
There is never a shortage of sports betting trends and systems available for the four major North American sports, and when it comes to breaking down the NFL, there is as much statistical analysis to cover as in any other sport. Breaking down the league year begins with free agency, and carries over through the draft and preseason until the pay head spreads are finally released for week one of the regular season. The overall landscape can change from week to week depending on what happened the Sunday before, but there is one very general trend that should always be considered.
The first trend that every football fan should be aware of from the beginning is that no two weeks are the same, and that a team isn’t going to cover the Betonline spread every single week. While this trend isn’t as clear-cut as some of the others, it is very useful to be aware that if a team has covered the spread three weeks in a row, it is very unlikely that they will do it again the following week, which should put that game on your radar. The NFL is different from baseball betting season in that each team plays only one game a week, so there is always time to go over the team numbers and bet against what the team has done so far. The point spread numbers for every week are usually pretty close to what the final margin of a game is, so often the best way to approach the game is to be aware of the team that is most likely to not cover the spread in terms of what they have done in recent weeks.