NFL
3 Best Bets For NFL Week 1
NFL betting fans are counting down the days to the start of the 2010 regular season on Thursday September 9th. The NFL has spoiled its fans this year, as sports betting handicappers get to watch a rematch of the NFC final from last season, when the New Orleans Saints play the Minnesota Vikings. Here are three of the games you should be watching in week one of the NFL season.
1. New Orleans Saints v. Minnesota Vikings – Two of the quietest teams during the offseason, the Saints and Vikings bring essentially the same squads from last season’s NFC final into week one. The ageless wonder Brett Favre looks to rewrite history in this week one encounter. If Favre had retired after last season, he would have been known for the interception he threw in the final seconds of the NFC championship game. However old man Brett along with Adrian Peterson and the rest of the Vikings will be looking to defeat the Saints this time around. Prediction: New Orleans by three.
2. Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans – When betting totals, we suggest you take the over in this game as two of the premier quarterbacks in the league will have their guns blazing. Ever since the Texans got Matt Schaub, they have gone from the cellar to about the middle of the pack, being able to defeat pretty much every team in the league except for one. In week one they look to finally put the woes against the Colts behind them. However as much as we love Schaub, we love Manning more. Prediction: Colts in a high scoring affair.
3. New England Patriots v. Cincinnati Bengals – One of the league’s best teams faces last season’s biggest surprise playoff team. Many fans will be betting on the Patriots to wipe the floor with the Bengals, because after all it is the Bengals. Yet we feel confident taking the Bengals, as the defensive is much improved and they finally got Ocho a competent wide out to ease the workload. Prediction: Bengals by three.
3 Football Handicapping Techniques
NFL betting supporters new to handicapping have spent hours on end trying to perfect a system that can work in any sport. As many sports betting handicappers discover, each sport requires a different system to provide success. For many fans, they believe that the professional and amateur football leagues can operate on the same system and this in itself is a fallacy. To help you become the best NFL handicapper out there here are three techniques which have worked for us and should work for you.- Statistical Handicapping – As the name suggests, this is when fans attempt to take individual statistics, ranking systems and matchup into account each week. In the NFL this is both the simplest and most pivotal form of studying a fan can do.
The NFL season operates on the shortest time frame of any of the four major sports. Since this is the case, we withdraw the idea of an emotional factor playing affect in each week’s matchup. Basically, in an 82 to 162 game season, such as in the NHL NBA and MLB, it is understandable that players won’t always put forth their best effort, since they can make up the game at a later time. Conversely however, we don’t see emotions such as laziness being an issue in a 16 week season especially since there is a bye week.
- Situational Handicapping – This system takes into consideration the plethora of emotions that are involved as players become more mature. A situational handicapper takes into account revenge systems, and peaks and valleys. In essence a situational game is one in which a team has been destroyed by their opponent in a game during the early part of the season and then elects to play harder the next time they face.
- Technical Handicapping – Essentially when utilizing technical handicapping, you are looking at how the team has fared in its previous matchups leading up to the game you are about to bet on. Some factors to also consider is if the team has covered the point spreads during that time, how they have looked in each half and how offseason moves have affected the team’s dynamic.
The Ultimate NFL Betting System
Easily the most popular sport for betting on since the merger in 1970 has been the NFL. Throughout its 40 years of existence, fans betting on the NFL have developed a wide array of systems and strategies to become more successful. Yet today, we discuss the ultimate NFL betting system so fail proof, that even a square can find success with it.
Over the last decade, a system known as the ultimate betting system was created to provide underdogs the opportunity with claiming victory in games similar to the point spread wager. Similar to the point spread wager, we need the underdog to make up the point differential that the favorite is favored by.
How it Works:
The system operates on the notion that fans should bet against teams that have won two straight games by 30 or more points while only giving up 10 or fewer points in its last two games.
From 2006 to 2009, the ultimate betting system was only played four times, with the underdogs, San Francisco 49ers, Buffalo Bills and Arizona Cardinals each covering the spread, while the Washington Redskins were the only team to lose based on the system.
In 2008 the Redskins a six point underdog, were thrashed by the Baltimore Ravens 24 to 10 resulting in the ultimate system being inaccurate that year. However in 2007, the Bills in a losing effort, in which they were underdogs by 10 points, were able to cover the spread with a final score of 25-24.
More famously, in 2006, the Cardinals proved the system to be accurate as in a game against the Chicago Bears, in which the Cards were underdogs by 12, they appeared to overachieve leading 20-0 at the half. However by the end of the game they had lost 24 to 23 as the Bears stormed all the way back.
If Revis Does Not Sign Are The Jets Still A Contender?
Over the course of the offseason, one of the NFL teams to make the biggest splashes was the New York Jets. As a result many fans and Sportsbook regulars betting on the Jersey based franchise to hoist the Super Bowl trophy knew that they had perhaps the strongest odds next to the defending champion New Orleans Saints.
In recent weeks, a riff has begun to form within the Jets locker room, as disgruntled cornerback Darrelle Revis leads a group of players also including center Nick Mangold, who are each entering the final year of their current contracts and are looking for large pay raises. Revis has been the most vocal of the group, as he has sat out two different sessions at minicamp, as a sign of protest until the Jets give in to his demands. Revis believes that he is the best cornerback in the game today and many experts would not disagree. As a result of this belief, Revis wants to be paid the most money ever for a cornerback, a title currently being held by Oakland Raiders cornerback Nnamadi Asomugha who currently makes $15.1 million a year.
NFL betting enthusiasts will be looking to alter their bets if Revis and Mangold amongst others on the Jets are not resigned by the team moving forward. Further in many cases where management and a player cannot come to an agreement, the player is usually traded. A prime example of this was in Denver, where the Broncos traded disgruntled star wide receiver Brandon Marshall. Unlike Marshall, however, if Revis and Mangold are traded as a result of not coming to an agreement, the Jets not only will no longer be instant contenders in the AFC East, but they will also fall to the bottom of the league.
Crayton Wants Out Of Dallas
If you're betting on NFL odds, you've been watching the situation going down in Dallas as the Cowboys are suddenly loaded at receiver, and one player wants to leave so they can pursue a starting job.
Patrick Crayton has requested that the Cowboys let him go as they already have Miles Austin, Roy Williams, and rookie Dez Bryant, who will also take Cryaton's job on special teams. Cryaton caught 37 passes for 622 yards and five touchdowns as the team's No.3 receiver, but Williams will get more passes thrown to him this year. Austin will also come back as the top receiver in Dallas after last year's breakout campaign, while everyone is buzzing about Bryant, who is being compared to Dallas legend Michael Irvin. The Cowboys also have Jason Witten, who is probably Tony Romo's favorite target and one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the league. That means that there probably won't be much room for Crayton, and the Cowboys should try to get something for him.
Crayton would look good in Miami, where Pro Bowler Brandon Marshall may miss some time because of hip surgery after coming to the Dolphins from Denver. The Dolphins would also like a speedy receiver to take advantage of Henne's ability to throw down the field, but one with better hands than Ted Ginn, who was moved to San Francisco. Crayton could carve out a niche for him in Miami, and who wouldn't want to play in sunny Florida? Picking Crayton up would definitely help the Dolphins' sports betting odds, if even just a little.